Working Papers

Slides ECB-Cleveland Inflation Conference (May 2020) [PDF

New Draft [PDF], Warwick wp [Link], OFCE wp [Link], CEPR Discussion Paper [Link]

A view often expressed by central banks is that thre...

New Draft (Apr 2020) [PDF] and slides [PDF]
 

This paper discusses conditions for identification of structural shocks with external instruments in VARs, under partial invertibility. This is a very...

Working Paper [PDF] Online Appendix [PDF]

This paper studies the transmission of US monetary shocks across the globe by employing a high-frequency identification of policy shocks and large VAR tech...

Prepared for the Spring 2020 edition of the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity [Link]

Slides [PDF] Conference Draft [PDF]

This paper empirically evaluates the potentially non-linear nexus between...

Slides for the 5th Annual Macroprudential Conference: Macroprudential, June 2019 in Eltville [PDF]

Working Paper [PDF]

We evaluate whether financial conditions can be used to predict risks of r...


Last version of the Working Paper [PDF] [Online Appendix]

[BoE wp] [OFCE wp]

Replica Files [ZIP] Informationally robust IV [MAT]

Commonly used instruments for the identification of monetary policy d...

Slides [PDF]

Central banks’ decisions are a function of forecasts of macroeconomic fundamentals. Because private sector forecasts may not be aligned to central banks’ forecasts, what markets labe...

June 28, 2016

Download [PDF] [ECB wp Series]

Abstract: Can discretionary increases in government spending stimulate the economy? We answer this question by taking into account both the information flow on fiscal...

Download [PDF] [European Commission Discussion Paper]


Abstract:  This paper studies the joint dynamics of public debt and public deficit in the euro area for the period 1981-2013 and compute proje...

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Slides ECB-Cleveland Inflation Conference (May 2020) [PDF

New Draft [PDF], Warwick wp [Link], OFCE wp [Link], CEPR Discussion Paper [Link]

A view often expressed by central banks is that three components matter for inflation dynamics: a trend anchored by long-run...

New Draft (Apr 2020) [PDF] and slides [PDF]
 

This paper discusses conditions for identification of structural shocks with external instruments in VARs, under partial invertibility. This is a very general condition, often of empirical relevance, and less stringent than...

Working Paper [PDF] Online Appendix [PDF]

This paper studies the transmission of US monetary shocks across the globe by employing a high-frequency identification of policy shocks and large VAR techniques, in conjunction with a large macro-financial dataset of global and...

Prepared for the Spring 2020 edition of the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity [Link]

Slides [PDF] Conference Draft [PDF]

This paper empirically evaluates the potentially non-linear nexus between financial indicators and the distribution of future GDP growth, using a...

Slides for the 5th Annual Macroprudential Conference: Macroprudential, June 2019 in Eltville [PDF]

Working Paper [PDF]

We evaluate whether financial conditions can be used to predict risks of recessions and study their relation with real economic conditions. We focu...


Last version of the Working Paper [PDF] [Online Appendix]

[BoE wp] [OFCE wp]

Replica Files [ZIP] Informationally robust IV [MAT]

Commonly used instruments for the identification of monetary policy disturbances are likely to combine the true policy shock with information...

European Economic Review, Volume 119, October 2019 [Link]

Accepted Draft [PDF] Replica Code [ZIP] Working Paper [CEPR wp]

Article on Vox `The financial origin of the euro area fiscal wound'  [Link]

Billet de blog pour l'OFCE (FR) `L’origine financière de la blessure budgé...

December 15, 2018

Slides [PDF]

Discussion Slides for Corsetti, Lafarguette, Mehl – ‘Fast Trading and the Virtue of Entropy: Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Market', prepared for the 8th Workshop on Exchange rates at Banque de France, Paris 14 December 2018.

September 17, 2018

Slides [PDF]

Discussion Slides: Cieslak and Schrimpf - `Non Monetary News in Central Bank Communication', prepared for the Bank of Canada Central Bank Communications Conference, Ottawa 13-14 September 2018.

Approved for publication in the forthcoming Economics and Finance Oxford Research Encyclopedia edited by Jonathan Hamilton by Oxford University Press [Warwick wp]

Updated version:
BVARs: Estimation [Oxford Research Encyclopedia] [PDF]
BVARs: Applications [Oxford Re...

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© 2018 by Giovanni Ricco.

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