Working Papers

Presentation Slides [PDF]

How does US monetary policy affects the rest of the world? This paper provides evidence on how policy actions are transmitted across the global economy by employing a high...

Slides for the 5th Annual Macroprudential Conference: Macroprudential, June 2019 in Eltville [PDF]

We evaluate whether financial conditions can be used to predict risks of recessions and study...

Slides [PDFSlides NBER-NSF SBIES 2019 [PDF] MMCN 2019 Lightning Talk [PDF]

New Draft [PDF], Warwick wp [Link], OFCE wp [Link], CEPR Discussion Paper [Link]

A view often expressed by central banks...

New Draft [PDF] and slides [PDF]
 

This paper discusses conditions for identification of structural shocks with external instruments in VARs, under partial invertibility. This is a very general con...

Slides [PDF]

Central banks’ decisions are a function of forecasts of macroeconomic fundamentals. Because private sector forecasts may not be aligned to central banks’ forecasts, what markets labe...

June 28, 2016

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Abstract: Can discretionary increases in government spending stimulate the economy? We answer this question by taking into account both the information flow on fiscal...

Download [PDF] [European Commission Discussion Paper]


Abstract:  This paper studies the joint dynamics of public debt and public deficit in the euro area for the period 1981-2013 and compute proje...

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European Economic Review, Volume 119, October 2019 [Link]

Accepted Draft [PDF] Replica Code [ZIP] Working Paper [CEPR wp]

Article on Vox `The financial origin of the euro area fiscal wound'  [Link]

Billet de blog pour l'OFCE (FR) `L’origine financière de la blessure budgé...

Presentation Slides [PDF]

How does US monetary policy affects the rest of the world? This paper provides evidence on how policy actions are transmitted across the global economy by employing a high frequency identification of policy shocks, together with large VAR techn...

Slides for the 5th Annual Macroprudential Conference: Macroprudential, June 2019 in Eltville [PDF]

We evaluate whether financial conditions can be used to predict risks of recessions and study their relation with real economic conditions. We focus on two financial...

Slides [PDFSlides NBER-NSF SBIES 2019 [PDF] MMCN 2019 Lightning Talk [PDF]

New Draft [PDF], Warwick wp [Link], OFCE wp [Link], CEPR Discussion Paper [Link]

A view often expressed by central banks is that three components matter for inflation dynamics: a trend anchored...

New Draft [PDF] and slides [PDF]
 

This paper discusses conditions for identification of structural shocks with external instruments in VARs, under partial invertibility. This is a very general condition, often of empirical relevance, and less stringent than the standar...

December 15, 2018

Slides [PDF]

Discussion Slides for Corsetti, Lafarguette, Mehl – ‘Fast Trading and the Virtue of Entropy: Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Market', prepared for the 8th Workshop on Exchange rates at Banque de France, Paris 14 December 2018.

September 17, 2018

Slides [PDF]

Discussion Slides: Cieslak and Schrimpf - `Non Monetary News in Central Bank Communication', prepared for the Bank of Canada Central Bank Communications Conference, Ottawa 13-14 September 2018.

Approved for publication in the forthcoming Economics and Finance Oxford Research Encyclopedia edited by Jonathan Hamilton by Oxford University Press [Warwick wp]

Updated version:
BVARs: Estimation [Oxford Research Encyclopedia] [PDF]
BVARs: Applications [Oxford Re...


Last version of the Working Paper [PDF]

[Bank of England Working Paper Series] [OFCE Working Paper Series] [Warwick Working Paper Series]

Replica Files [ZIP] Informationally robust IV [XLSX]

Abstract: In the presence of information frictions, commonly used instruments fo...

July 1, 2018

Slides [PDF]

Discussion Slides: Inoue, Rossi - ‘The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates’, prepared for the NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, Dublin 29-30 June 2018.

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© 2018 by Giovanni Ricco.

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