Working Papers

Presentation Slides [PDF]

How does US monetary policy affects the rest of the world? This paper provides evidence on how policy actions are transmitted across the global economy by employing a high...

Slides for the 5th Annual Macroprudential Conference: Macroprudential, June 2019 in Eltville [PDF]

We evaluate whether financial conditions can be used to predict risks of recessions and study...

Slides [PDFSlides NBER-NSF SBIES 2019 [PDF] MMCN 2019 Lightning Talk [PDF]

New Draft [PDF], Warwick wp [Link], OFCE wp [Link], CEPR Discussion Paper [Link]

A view often expressed by central banks...

New Draft [PDF] and slides [PDF]
 

This paper discusses conditions for identification of structural shocks with external instruments in VARs, under partial invertibility. This is a very general con...

Slides [PDF]

Central banks’ decisions are a function of forecasts of macroeconomic fundamentals. Because private sector forecasts may not be aligned to central banks’ forecasts, what markets labe...

June 28, 2016

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Abstract: Can discretionary increases in government spending stimulate the economy? We answer this question by taking into account both the information flow on fiscal...

Download [PDF] [European Commission Discussion Paper]


Abstract:  This paper studies the joint dynamics of public debt and public deficit in the euro area for the period 1981-2013 and compute proje...

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Presentation Slides [PDF]

How does US monetary policy affects the rest of the world? This paper provides evidence on how policy actions are transmitted across the global economy by employing a high frequency identification of policy shocks, together with large VAR techn...

Download [PDF] [Online Appendix]

Journal of Monetary Economics Volume 90, October 2017, Pages 13-27 [Link]


Abstract: Using a large Bayesian VAR, we approximate the flow of information received by economic agents to investigate the effects of changes to government purcha...

June 28, 2016

Download [PDF] [ECB wp Series]

Abstract: Can discretionary increases in government spending stimulate the economy? We answer this question by taking into account both the information flow on fiscal measures and the role played by information frictions. Using a novel set...

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© 2018 by Giovanni Ricco.

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