Working Papers

Slides for the 5th Annual Macroprudential Conference: Macroprudential, June 2019 in Eltville [PDF]

Working Paper [PDF]

We evaluate whether financial conditions can be used to predict risks of r...

Last version of the Working Paper [PDF] [Online Appendix]

[BoE wp] [OFCE wp]

Replica Files [ZIP] Informationally robust IV [MAT]

Commonly used instruments for the identification of monetary policy d...

Presentation Slides Mexico City November 2019 [PDF]

How does US monetary policy affects the rest of the world? This paper provides evidence on how policy actions are transmitted across the glo...

Slides [PDFSlides NBER-NSF SBIES 2019 [PDF] MMCN 2019 Lightning Talk [PDF]

New Draft [PDF], Warwick wp [Link], OFCE wp [Link], CEPR Discussion Paper [Link]

A view often expressed by central banks...

New Draft [PDF] and slides [PDF]

This paper discusses conditions for identification of structural shocks with external instruments in VARs, under partial invertibility. This is a very general con...

Slides [PDF]

Central banks’ decisions are a function of forecasts of macroeconomic fundamentals. Because private sector forecasts may not be aligned to central banks’ forecasts, what markets labe...

June 28, 2016

Download [PDF] [ECB wp Series]

Abstract: Can discretionary increases in government spending stimulate the economy? We answer this question by taking into account both the information flow on fiscal...

Download [PDF] [European Commission Discussion Paper]

Abstract:  This paper studies the joint dynamics of public debt and public deficit in the euro area for the period 1981-2013 and compute proje...

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May 25, 2018

Presentation Slides [PDF]

Policy Presentation for the policy session on `Identification, Propagation and Spillover of Domestic and International Monetary Shocks' at the XX Annual Inflation Targeting Conference  at the Banco Central do Brasil, Rio de Janeiro on 25 May 20...

A VOX piece on inflation in the US and in the Euro Area [Link]

French version: Une inflation faible pour longtemps? [OFCE blog]

The ECB's Survey of Professional Forecasters supports the ECB’s view that inflation in the Eurozone will pick up and will be back within the...

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© 2018 by Giovanni Ricco.

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